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Indigo Share Price Analysis: Will IndiGo Soar or Stay Grounded after Q2 results?

by ARVIND KUMAR MISHRA
2 March 2024
in Market, Blog
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Indigo Share Price

Indigo Share Price

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In the dynamic world of aviation, the performance of airlines often mirrors the broader economic landscape, and investors keep a keen eye on key players like IndiGo. As India’s largest airline by fleet and domestic market share, IndiGo’s Q2 results are highly anticipated. This article delves into what to expect from IndiGo’s upcoming earnings and how the indigo share price might be affected.

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Table of Contents

  • Indigo Share Price: The Quest to Reach 100 Million Passengers
  • Indigo Share Price: Unprecedented Competition
    • Indigo Share Price: Analysing the Numbers
      • Indigo Share Price: A Challenging Quarter
        • Indigo Share Price: Key Areas to Monitor
        • The Bottom Line of Indigo Share Price
          • Indigo Share Price: Conclusion 

Indigo Share Price: The Quest to Reach 100 Million Passengers

IndiGo, aiming to transport 100 million passengers this fiscal year, has been making notable progress, already accomplishing 50% of this objective. The outcome of this quarter’s performance will be crucial in assessing their trajectory towards achieving this milestone. Moreover, they will reveal IndiGo’s strategies to overcome the challenges posed by the Pratt & Whitney engine issues that have grounded some of its aircraft.

Indigo Share Price: The Quest to Reach 100 Million Passengers
Indigo Share Price: The Quest to Reach 100 Million Passengers

Indigo Share Price: Unprecedented Competition

IndiGo is facing a level of competition that it hasn’t seen since its inception in 2006. Rival Air India Express is making headlines with plans to induct an average of one plane every six days, signalling rapid expansion. The intensity of this competition adds another layer of complexity to IndiGo’s Q2 results.

Indigo Share Price: Analysing the Numbers

The numbers in Q2 have seen a remarkable 33% growth in domestic passengers, compared to Q2 FY23. It’s important to remember that these figures are marginally lower than those from the previous quarter, which marked a record high for IndiGo.

The airline closed the previous quarter with a market share of 63.4%, its highest ever.

Q1 had already set the tone with IndiGo reporting a profit of INR 3090 crore and crossing the INR 16,000 crore revenue mark for the first time in its history. Furthermore, the second quarter witnessed international expansion, but the real impact will take time to manifest, given the complexities involved in opening new stations.

Indigo Share Price: A Challenging Quarter
Indigo Share Price: A Challenging Quarter

Indigo Share Price: A Challenging Quarter

Indigo Share Price after the first quarter was characterised by high last-minute fares due to the suspension of Go FIRST, providing a boost to IndiGo’s revenue. In contrast, Q2 is traditionally subdued, and the Go FIRST impact has dwindled. This shift coincides with an unfavourable scenario where demand has cooled off, and costs have escalated. Oil prices increased by an average of 5% in the second quarter, and the rupee weakened by 1.5% over the same period.

The impact of damp-leased B777s, extended international flights, and the blue ocean strategy are aspects that will come into focus. While these have provided some advantages, especially with competitors like Akasa Air facing difficulties, IndiGo still has a considerable gap to recover from the cumulative losses incurred since the onset of COVID.

Indigo Share Price: Key Areas to Monitor

As IndiGo faces a rapidly expanding Air India group, it may encounter challenges related to pilot and staff salaries. The extent and speed of employee cost increases will be a critical factor to watch, given the industry’s post-COVID stabilisation. Employee expenses constituted 9.4% of overall costs in the preceding quarter, and this proportion has remained relatively consistent throughout the subsequent two quarters.

Another point of interest is IndiGo’s compensation from Pratt & Whitney for the engine issues. There has always been conjecture about the kind and scope of this compensation.

With new checks on Pratt & Whitney engines, the post-results management call will provide clarity on this critical matter.

The Bottom Line of Indigo Share Price
The Bottom Line of Indigo Share Price
The Bottom Line of Indigo Share Price

IndiGo’s Q2 performance is poised at a delicate balance. It is unlikely to surpass the revenue numbers of the first quarter. With pressure mounting from both demand and cost sides, breaking even with a three-digit profit would be a noteworthy achievement. If IndiGo fails to meet expectations, it may give rise to numerous inquiries and uncertainties, especially considering the current state of the Indian aviation sector, which is transitioning into a duopoly.

As investors eagerly await the results, the indigo share price will undoubtedly respond to the findings, reflecting the broader implications for the aviation sector.

Indigo Share Price: Conclusion 

IndiGo’s Q2 results promise to be a decisive moment for the airline and its investors. With competition intensifying and various challenges to navigate, the numbers will provide insights into IndiGo’s trajectory in the coming fiscal year. The indigo share price, a focus of this analysis, will undoubtedly sway in response to these outcomes.

What are the key points to watch for in IndiGo's Q2 results?
What are the key points to watch for in IndiGo’s Q2 results?

FAQs

What are the key points to watch for in IndiGo’s Q2 results?

Key areas to monitor include passenger numbers, revenue, employee costs, and compensation from Pratt & Whitney.

How has competition affected IndiGo’s performance in recent times?

Rivalry in the Indian aviation industry has escalated, putting pressure on IndiGo to maintain its market dominance.

What challenges has IndiGo faced due to the Pratt & Whitney engine issues?

The grounding of some of its aircraft and the reliance on wet-leased planes to mitigate the crisis.

Is IndiGo expected to report a profit in Q2, and how does it compare to the previous quarter?

The airline may face challenges in surpassing the revenue numbers of the first quarter due to increasing costs and reduced demand.

How will the Indian aviation industry evolve in the near future?

The industry is moving towards a duopoly, with implications for players like IndiGo and the overall market dynamics.

Disclaimer: The information in this “Stock Profile” blog post is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always consult a qualified expert before making investment decisions.

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