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How Housing Costs Continue to Drive Inflation, Despite Slower Food Price Hikes

by ARVIND KUMAR MISHRA
16 August 2024
in World, Finance
2
How Housing Costs Continue to Drive Inflation, Despite Slower Food Price Hikes

How Housing Costs Continue to Drive Inflation, Despite Slower Food Price Hikes

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In the midst of inflation trends cooling down, housing costs remain one of the biggest hurdles for prospective buyers. Mitchell and Kathryn Cox, a young couple from Savannah, Georgia, experienced this firsthand. Renting already felt like a stretch, with prices soaring by over 50% compared to what their friends had been paying just a few years earlier. However, their venture into home-buying revealed an even tougher reality.

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“We were more disappointed than surprised,” Mitchell said. The couple ended up purchasing a home smaller than they had hoped for after months of searching. Revisiting relative’s mortgages and housing costs that we had bought just a couple of years before gave us no option but to notice some similarities. We were kind of late entrants in homeownership.

The struggles experienced by Mitchell and Kathryn aren’t theirs alone; they represent an increasing number of Americans whose ability to afford homes has been severely compromised by ever-rising real estate prices.The latest figures from the Department of Labor show that while consumer prices have generally cooled down in July, shelter costs are up 5.1% compared to a year ago. Alarmingly, this accounts for almost 90% of the overall rise in inflation. Housing, it appears, is driving the economy’s lingering inflation.

Table of Contents

  • Housing Prices Still Rising
  • Hard Choices for Buyers
  • Sellers Are Feeling the Pinch Too
  • Watching the Market and Finding Opportunities
  • Housing’s Central Role in the Economy
  • Conclusion
  • FAQs on Housing Costs and Inflation

Housing Prices Still Rising

Redfin, a real estate company, reports that the median home purchase price has risen by more than 4% in the last year. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings increased by only 3.6%. These numbers highlight the disparity between wages and home prices, leaving potential buyers like the Coxes in a bind.

Michael Neal, a senior fellow at the Housing Finance Policy Center at the Urban Institute, views these rising costs as a drag on the overall economy. Housing affordability challenges, according to Neal, are stifling sales and construction, undermining economic growth.

Housing costs Still Rising
Housing costs Still Rising

Hard Choices for Buyers

For many young buyers like the Coxes, the combination of higher home prices and rising interest rates forces difficult decisions. Should they prioritise location or space? Unfortunately, many can’t have both. Mitchell and Kathryn eventually settled for a “small but cosy” home in a neighbourhood they loved, opting for a two-bedroom, one-bath house with nearly 200 fewer square feet than their original goal.

Their story is familiar to many who enter the current market.As Mitchell said, “It takes a lot of effort and at times, a little luck.” The Coxes were lucky to become homeowners since they could buy a house while others were not. For many young professionals these days, home ownership seems like an impossible dream because of barriers arising from scarcity and prices of housing.

Sellers Are Feeling the Pinch Too

Strangely, sellers are also being affected by higher prices. Sellers may struggle to attract multiple offers if there are fewer buyers who can afford to compete. According to Justin Vold, a Los Angeles-based Redfin agent, sellers should price their homes competitively to attract multiple buyers. Vold elaborated, “Getting only one offer sounds great, but anything can happen.” Deals can fall through when interest rates rise, especially when rates rise between preapproval and closing.

Given these challenges, Vold advises buyers to aim below their budget. But that’s easier said than done in expensive markets where even modest homes come with hefty price tags.

Watching the Market and Finding Opportunities

According to several experts, including Daryl Fairweather from Redfin, the Fed could lower interest rates soon which is a good thing for the housing market. Fairweather is optimistic that if interest rates drop, we could see significantly more activity by next spring.

In the meantime, however, it is important for both homeowners and buyers to closely monitor the market. Watching for changes in interest rates and new listings can help future buyers identify the best time to make a move. Homeowners who bought recently should also monitor their equity and consider refinancing if lower rates become available.

Housing's Central Role in the Economy
Housing’s Central Role in the Economy

Housing’s Central Role in the Economy

The housing market’s impact on inflation goes beyond the individual struggles of buyers and sellers. Michael Neal of the Urban Institute believes this persistent inflation is a stark reminder of how vital housing is to the economy. To what extent do you think the relationship is between inflation and supply in the housing market? In other words, if there were enough cheap houses available, would it have been worth living in an expensive one? Therefore, looking at Ormston’s graph we would say that there must have been much more house construction done by now.


Owing to above-discussed claims several people believe this process is time consuming and requires a lot of effort. However, some also hold the opposite view that it isn’t a big deal. By conducting research, searching for suitable partners and waiting calmly could make house acquisition an easier journey.

Conclusion

The costs of housing are still one of the main reasons for inflation which makes it hard for many people including young people to own houses. On the other hand, as inflation in some areas such as food starts to slow down, the continuous increase in shelter costs is an important lesson on how housing dominates the economy. For people like Mitchell and Kathryn Cox who were hopeful buyers patience and flexibility were crucial factors. For others, watching the market and staying informed might provide that much-needed opportunity to break into home ownership.

FAQs on Housing Costs and Inflation

1. Why are housing costs driving inflation?
In July, there was an almost 90% rise in inflation because shelter costs have been continuously increasing. This is largely a result of the higher prices for homes together with increasing interest rates which increases the expenses related to both buying and renting houses.

2. How much have home prices increased in recent months?
The average purchase price of a home in the United States as reported by Redfin has indicated that it has gone up by over four percent in the past year thus making housing unaffordable for numerous buyers.


3. How does the rise in housing costs affect potential buyers?
Rising housing prices make it difficult for buyers to compromise on space vis-a-vis position. Many people find themselves priced out of the market or are obliged to go for smaller houses than they initially wanted.

4. How do high interest rates impact the housing market?
High-interest rates render mortgages costly, reducing the number of prospective purchasers available. This may cause deals to be cancelled if rates go up before the range of approved offers are fulfilled; thus making life hard for both the buyer and seller.

High-interest rates render mortgages costly, reducing the number of prospective purchasers available. This may cause deals to be cancelled if rates go up before the range of approved offers are fulfilled; thus making life hard for both the buyer and seller.
High-interest rates render mortgages costly, reducing the number of prospective purchasers available. This may cause deals to be cancelled if rates go up before the range of approved offers are fulfilled; thus making life hard for both the buyer and seller.

5. Do you think sellers have been affected by high housing prices and mortgage rates?

Yes, sellers are also Affected in this scenario. It becomes difficult for sellers to receive multiple offers since fewer buyers are available in the market; therefore they will not be able to sell their houses soon or at all this way they may choose to do transactions that involve negotiation which can be time consuming. In this environment pricing homes competitively has become more crucial than ever before.

6. How should aspiring homeowners get through the current housing market?

They might be able to reach such an aim through monitoring interest rates closely enough as well as new listings until they reach an optimum time for buying houses. Meanwhile engaging a competent real agent and keeping up with latest developments may also help them make better choices.

7. Is it likely that any sort of relief for the housing market is on its way?

Daryl Fairweather—chief economist at Redfin—believes that soon the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates, which could bring some sigh of relief to those in the housing market. If this is so, we may witness a more vibrant housing market by next spring.

8. What should recent homeowners keep in mind during these high inflationary periods?

In case there are dropping interest rates, people who recently bought homes should watch out for their home equity, and if they have any chances to refinance their mortgages, it can help them lower their monthly payments leading to affordable homeownership in the long run.

9. How does the housing market reflect on the general economy?

As a major economic force, housing is directly responsible for upturns and downturns; therefore increases or decreases in property prices can have significant impacts on the economy as well. First off, increased values of homes translate into wealth for citizens which they may choose to spend more on luxuries. Furthermore, some individuals tend to shift residence due to job opportunities in regions with higher rents due to owners. On the other hand, declining home prices will mean

10. What advice do experts have for people looking to buy a home right now?
Experts advise potential buyers to research, be patient and able to compromise on the location or space. With a bit of time spent analysing the market, one can easily find the right partner in real estate thereby making the home acquisition process much easier.

Disclaimer: The information in this “Stock Profile” blog post is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always consult a qualified expert before making investment decisions.

Tags: food price hikeshousing costsinflationstock market
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